Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djibouti win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Niger had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djibouti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Niger win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
