Ecuador
4 - 2
Uruguay

Mena (14'), Estrada (45+3', 52'), Plata (75')
Gruezo (38'), Palacios (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Suarez (83' pen., 90+5' pen.)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage clash between Ecuador and Uruguay.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Uruguay
28.71%	27.09%	44.2%

Both teams to score 48.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.53%

56.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.52%

77.47%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.96%

35.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.21%

71.79%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6%

25.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.79%

60.21%

Score Analysis

Ecuador 28.71%

Uruguay 44.19%

Draw 27.09%

Ecuador	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.71%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 12.19% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 8.36% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.28% Total : 44.19%