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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 1, 2021 at 5pm UK
Estadio 24 de Setembro
GN

Guinea-Bissau
1 - 1
Guinea

Mendes (46')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kamano (7')
Pogba (19'), Camara (42')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Second Round clash between Guinea-Bissau and Guinea.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Guinea had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Guinea win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Guinea-BissauDrawGuinea
42.95%26.55%30.49%
Both teams to score 50.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31%53.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82%75.18%
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22%24.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65%59.35%
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75%32.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26%68.74%
Score Analysis
    Guinea-Bissau 42.94%
    Guinea 30.49%
    Draw 26.55%
Guinea-BissauDrawGuinea
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 7.78%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 42.94%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 7.99%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 9.04%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.49%

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