Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.