Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 36.26%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Gabon win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Libya would win this match.
