Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 87.01%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 3.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.96%) and 0-1 (11.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.46%), while for a Mongolia win it was 1-0 (1.57%).