Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Belize had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Belize win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.