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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2020 at 1am UK
 
BN

Peru
2 - 4
Brazil

Carrillo (5'), Tapia (59')
Tapia (37'), Gonzales (54')
Alberto Caceda Oyaguez (86'), Zambrano (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Neymar (28' pen., 83' pen., 90+4'), Richarlison (64')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage clash between Peru and Brazil.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 24.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
PeruDrawBrazil
24.01%24.08%51.91%
Both teams to score 53.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25%47.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06%69.94%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79%34.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09%70.91%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62%18.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.49%49.51%
Score Analysis
    Peru 24.01%
    Brazil 51.91%
    Draw 24.07%
PeruDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 6.74%
2-1 @ 6.13%
2-0 @ 3.62%
3-1 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 1.86%
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 24.01%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 10.65%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-2 @ 9.02%
1-3 @ 5.46%
0-3 @ 5.1%
2-3 @ 2.93%
1-4 @ 2.31%
0-4 @ 2.16%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 51.91%


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