Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.