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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
 
GN

Philippines
3 - 0
Guam

Guirado (12'), Winhoffer (60'), Hartmann (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lagutang (31')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Guam had a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philippines win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Guam win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philippines would win this match.

Result
PhilippinesDrawGuam
51.55%25.24%23.22%
Both teams to score 49.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.84%53.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.27%74.73%
Philippines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37%20.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.81%53.19%
Guam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07%37.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.3%74.7%
Score Analysis
    Philippines 51.55%
    Guam 23.22%
    Draw 25.23%
PhilippinesDrawGuam
1-0 @ 12.35%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.82%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 23.22%

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