Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 71.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 9.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.72%) and 3-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
