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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 5, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
KN

Rwanda
1 - 1
Kenya

Rwatubyaye (20')
Tuyisenge (30'), Niyonzima (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Olunga (9')
Odada (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
RwandaDrawKenya
50.44%24.39%25.17%
Both teams to score 53.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.98%48.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.81%70.19%
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94%19.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.35%50.65%
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62%33.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30%70%
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 50.44%
    Kenya 25.17%
    Draw 24.39%
RwandaDrawKenya
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.74%
3-1 @ 5.3%
3-0 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 50.44%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.36%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.98%
1-2 @ 6.35%
0-2 @ 3.83%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 25.17%

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