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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 7, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
UN

Rwanda
0 - 1
Uganda

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bayo (41')
Awany (58'), Aucho (63'), Cromwell (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest Uganda win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
RwandaDrawUganda
41.62%28.66%29.71%
Both teams to score 44.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.4%61.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.56%81.44%
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82%29.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88%65.11%
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.97%37.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.18%73.82%
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 41.61%
    Uganda 29.71%
    Draw 28.66%
RwandaDrawUganda
1-0 @ 13.3%
2-0 @ 8.2%
2-1 @ 8.14%
3-0 @ 3.37%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.04%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 29.71%

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