Tahiti have had plenty time to prepare for this encounter following the postponement of their encounter with Vanuata, and we think that the fresh legs of Tahiti will help them claim a narrow win on Thursday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tahiti win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tahiti win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.16%) and 2-3 (4.79%). The likeliest Solomon Islands win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
