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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2020 at 11pm UK
 
PN

Venezuela
0 - 1
Paraguay


Herrera (30'), Feltscher (53'), (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sanabria (86')
Cubas (6'), Lezcano (10'), Almiron (84')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage clash between Venezuela and Paraguay.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 41.46%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 28.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Paraguay in this match.

Result
VenezuelaDrawParaguay
28.34%30.2%41.46%
Both teams to score 40.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.26%66.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.91%85.09%
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96%41.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41%77.59%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14%31.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69%68.31%
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 28.33%
    Paraguay 41.46%
    Draw 30.19%
VenezuelaDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 5.93%
2-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 1.76%
3-0 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 13.07%
2-2 @ 3.39%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.19%
0-1 @ 14.95%
0-2 @ 8.55%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-3 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 41.46%


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