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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2021 at 7pm UK
 
UN

Yemen
0 - 1
Uzbekistan


Abdul Wahid (18'), Boqshan (64'), Qarawi (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Masharipov (19' pen.)
Alibaev (45+2'), Shomurodov (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Yemen had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Yemen win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
YemenDrawUzbekistan
27.35%23.92%48.73%
Both teams to score 57.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7%44.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.33%66.67%
Yemen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31%29.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.26%65.74%
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7%18.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.63%49.36%
Score Analysis
    Yemen 27.35%
    Uzbekistan 48.73%
    Draw 23.92%
YemenDrawUzbekistan
2-1 @ 6.8%
1-0 @ 6.6%
2-0 @ 4.01%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 27.35%
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 5.78%
0-0 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-1 @ 9.22%
0-2 @ 7.84%
1-3 @ 5.39%
0-3 @ 4.44%
2-3 @ 3.27%
1-4 @ 2.29%
0-4 @ 1.88%
2-4 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.73%

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