Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Yemen had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Yemen win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.
