Brisbane Roar have proven themselves to be difficult to break down this season, and because of that, this is likely going to be a low-scoring game.
However, because the visitors are also struggling to score themselves, Adelaide United should be able to take three points in this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
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