SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
36.33% ( 0.27) | 24.69% ( -0.05) | 38.98% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 58.85% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% ( 0.24) | 44.23% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% ( 0.23) | 66.6% ( -0.23) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( 0.26) | 23.97% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.79% ( 0.37) | 58.21% ( -0.37) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% ( -0.01) | 22.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.8% ( -0.01) | 56.2% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 36.33% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.98% |
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