Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Sanchez (38')
Nicolas Marin Vega (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Newell's Old Boys.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 40.03%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 29.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Belgrano | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
40.03% ( -0.02) | 30.45% ( 0) | 29.51% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.04% ( -0) |
| 32.86% ( -0.01) | 67.14% ( 0.01) |
| 14.64% ( -0) | 85.36% ( 0.01) |
| 67.07% ( -0.02) | 32.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.49% ( -0.02) | 69.51% ( 0.02) |
| 59.7% ( 0.01) | 40.3% ( -0.01) |
