Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
-0.87) 
0.36) 
