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Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Nov 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Arena da Baixada
BL

Athletico PR
3 - 0
Botafogo

Adryelson (52' og.), Roque (62'), Erick (90+5')
Erick (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Santos (50')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Athletico PR
Thursday, November 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Santos
Thursday, November 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBotafogo
49.29% (0.182 0.18) 24.57% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 26.14% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 54.26% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.98% (0.066000000000003 0.07)48.02% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.81% (0.061 0.06)70.19% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48% (0.101 0.1)19.52% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59% (0.161 0.16)51.42% (-0.154 -0.15)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)32.58% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)69.12% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 49.29%
    Botafogo 26.14%
    Draw 24.57%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 26.14%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Athletico PR
Thursday, November 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, November 6 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-2 Goias
Wednesday, November 2 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Athletico PR
Saturday, October 29 at 9pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-3 Palmeiras
Wednesday, October 26 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 4-2 Athletico PR
Saturday, October 22 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Santos
Thursday, November 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-2 Botafogo
Monday, November 7 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-2 Cuiaba
Tuesday, November 1 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino
Wednesday, October 26 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Botafogo
Sunday, October 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Internacional
Sunday, October 16 at 10pm in Brasileiro


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