Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
-0.14) 
0.07) 
