Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (4.43%).
4.56) 
-1.79) 
