Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Huachipato had a probability of 9.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Huachipato win it was 1-2 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
