SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
40.07% ( -0.78) | 24.71% ( -0.11) | 35.22% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.53% ( 0.66) | 44.47% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( 0.63) | 66.84% ( -0.64) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( -0.09) | 22.16% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.45% ( -0.14) | 55.55% ( 0.13) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( 0.81) | 24.7% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.76% ( 1.13) | 59.24% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.22% |
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