SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Leicester City |
24.87% ( -0.75) | 24.46% ( -0.2) | 50.67% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.39% ( 0.23) | 48.6% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.28% ( 0.21) | 70.72% ( -0.21) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% ( -0.51) | 33.95% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.38% ( -0.55) | 70.62% ( 0.55) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( 0.47) | 19.19% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.13% ( 0.78) | 50.87% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.87% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.67% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
