Coventry are still adapting to life following the high-profile departures of Gyokeres and Hamer over the summer, although we feel that the Sky Blues should be good enough for a victory on Saturday.
Watford are not the same team who used to dominate proceedings in the Championship, and we are expecting them to extend their losing run to three league matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
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