Only one of the last five meetings between Hull and Stoke have seen both teams score – the aforementioned reverse fixture – but we can see these two sides having joy in the final third on Good Friday.
Having said that, playoff hopefuls Hull will be regarded as favourites to come out on top and should ultimately have enough quality in the final third to claim maximum points, ending their four-game winless home run in the process.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
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