SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Stoke City |
38.31% ( 0.03) | 25.21% ( -0.01) | 36.47% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.98% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.34% ( 0.02) | 46.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.08% ( 0.02) | 68.92% ( -0.02) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( 0.03) | 24.02% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.72% ( 0.03) | 58.27% ( -0.03) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( 0) | 25.01% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.32% | 59.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 0.94% 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.47% |
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