Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
