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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
HL

Millwall
2 - 2
Hull City

Watmore (8'), Bryan (54')
McNamara (9'), Harding (36'), De Norre (52'), Bryan (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Philogene-Bidace (25'), Traore (30')
Allsop (51'), Connolly (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Millwall
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Hull City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Hull City

Hull City will be keen to bounce back from Tuesday's defeat, while Millwall will have renewed positivity from their away win, but Rowett's men have not excelled on home turf this season, and we anticipate a share of the spoils at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawHull City
48.79% (0.358 0.36) 25.88% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 25.32% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.5% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09% (0.066000000000003 0.07)53.91% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.055 0.05)75.37% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.187 0.19)22.12% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (0.28 0.28)55.49% (-0.281 -0.28)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)36.44% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (-0.213 -0.21)73.22% (0.211 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 48.79%
    Hull City 25.33%
    Draw 25.88%
MillwallDrawHull City
1-0 @ 12.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.065 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 25.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Millwall
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Rotherham
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Leeds
Sunday, September 17 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Hull City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Hull City
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Leeds
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Coventry
Friday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Hull City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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