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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
RL

Millwall
3 - 0
Rotherham

Longman (27'), Flemming (58'), Bradshaw (90+3')
Longman (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Revan (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Leeds
Sunday, September 17 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-1 Rotherham United

Spirits are certainly not high around The Den after their tough start to the season, but Millwall do still boast plenty of quality, and we fancy them to bounce back at home to a struggling Millers side on home turf on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawRotherham United
55.35% (-1.418 -1.42) 25.29% (0.573 0.57) 19.36% (0.85 0.85)
Both teams to score 44.17% (-0.218 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74% (-1.008 -1.01)57.26% (1.013 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.89% (-0.81 -0.81)78.1% (0.813 0.81)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.961 -0.96)20.71% (0.964 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-1.539 -1.54)53.33% (1.543 1.54)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71% (0.396 0.4)44.29% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64% (0.32 0.32)80.36% (-0.316 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 55.34%
    Rotherham United 19.36%
    Draw 25.29%
MillwallDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 14.44% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.97% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 55.34%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 9.17% (0.349 0.35)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.363 0.36)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.146 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.179 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Leeds
Sunday, September 17 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Millwall
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-4 Reading
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Leicester
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Blackburn
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship


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