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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
BC

Preston
1 - 2
Bristol City

Evans (61')
Storey (33')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sykes (6'), Bell (45+3')
James (50'), Wells (63'), Cornick (70'), Scott (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 1-2 Bristol City

Both of these teams have been unpredictable all season and it makes it difficult to predict a result with any confidence. That said, we can only back the visitors, who have momentum after outplaying in-form West Brom in the FA Cup last weekend and are performing better on their travels than Preston are at Deepdale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawBristol City
41.29% (-1.15 -1.15) 26.11% (-0.152 -0.15) 32.6% (1.302 1.3)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.961 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (1.02 1.02)51.23% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (0.887 0.89)73.06% (-0.887 -0.89)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (-0.128 -0.13)24.53% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41% (-0.181 -0.18)58.99% (0.182 0.18)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45% (1.39 1.39)29.55% (-1.389 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (1.664 1.66)65.57% (-1.663 -1.66)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 41.28%
    Bristol City 32.6%
    Draw 26.1%
Preston North EndDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 41.28%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.301 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.151 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.191 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.211 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.14 0.14)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Preston 0-3 Spurs
Saturday, January 28 at 6pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Preston
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Preston
Monday, January 2 at 3.15pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Preston
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 3-0 West Brom
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 4-2 Birmingham
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Swansea
Sunday, January 8 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship


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