SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
32.94% ( -0.15) | 24.16% ( 0.21) | 42.89% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.94% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.52% ( -1.04) | 42.48% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.11% ( -1.04) | 64.88% ( 1.05) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( -0.58) | 25.08% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% ( -0.82) | 59.77% ( 0.82) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( -0.45) | 19.99% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.82% ( -0.74) | 52.18% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.94% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.01% Total : 42.9% |
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