By all accounts, Preston have to be favourites for this contest, particularly when Piroe could be on the move. Nevertheless, we feel that Swansea may get off the mark in the wins column this weekend, albeit in a closely-fought encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
0.2) 
-0.04) 
