SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swansea City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Swansea City |
29.09% ( 0.26) | 24.33% ( 0.09) | 46.58% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.37% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( -0.26) | 44.98% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.67% ( -0.25) | 67.33% ( 0.25) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( 0.05) | 28.79% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( 0.06) | 64.64% ( -0.06) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( -0.25) | 19.43% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.73% ( -0.41) | 51.27% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.09% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.58% |
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