Despite the difference in league positions, this has all the makings of a competitive fixture, Wednesday also having an extra two days rest. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to come through by the odd goal in three, potentially through a late strike.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
-0.31) 
0.43) 
