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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
WL

Blackburn
1 - 2
Watford

Wharton (3')
Garrett (36'), Moran (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rajovic (83'), Healey (87')
Hoedt (65'), Rajovic (81'), Andrews (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-5 Watford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Watford

The inconsistency of both teams make this a difficult one to predict. We fancy Watford to make an impression after their recent demolition job of Preston, yet it would not be Blackburn-like if they did not respond to a defeat by getting back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawWatford
42.67% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 25.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 31.99% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.49% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.029999999999994 0.03)48.13% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.028000000000002 0.03)70.29% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.031999999999996 0.03)28.41% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.042000000000002 0.04)64.16% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.67%
    Watford 31.99%
    Draw 25.33%
Blackburn RoversDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.67%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Blackburn
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 4-2 Birmingham
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Blackburn
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-5 Watford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Watford
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 3-2 Norwich
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Watford
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship


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