SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Stoke City |
43.18% ( -0.24) | 24.61% ( -0.02) | 32.2% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 58.06% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.19) | 44.81% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.18) | 67.17% ( -0.19) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.03) | 20.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% ( -0.04) | 53.52% ( 0.04) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( 0.25) | 26.65% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( 0.34) | 61.89% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.2% |
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