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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
PA

Stoke
3 - 0
Plymouth

Hoever (43'), Manhoef (45+2'), Burger (90+3')
Wilmot (26'), Cooper (36'), Hoever (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Campbell (35'), Mumba (36'), Scarr (62'), Devine (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Leicester
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

This has the potential to be an extremely tense affair, one in which both sides may be focused on avoiding losing. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
44.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 25.43% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 29.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.06% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)49.47% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)71.5% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)30.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (0.026000000000003 0.03)66.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.94%
    Plymouth Argyle 29.63%
    Draw 25.42%
Stoke CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Stoke
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 West Brom
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Huddersfield
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Stoke
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Leicester
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 QPR
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Plymouth
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Bristol City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Preston
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship


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