SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Leicester City |
39.53% ( 0.04) | 23.98% ( -0) | 36.49% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.47% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.16% ( 0.01) | 40.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.77% ( 0.01) | 63.22% ( -0.01) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( 0.02) | 20.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% ( 0.03) | 53.52% ( -0.03) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% ( -0.02) | 22.35% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% ( -0.03) | 55.83% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.49% |
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