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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
WB

Watford
2 - 2
West Brom

Ince (3'), Martins (23')
Porteous (53'), Louza (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Swift (14'), Wallace (17')
Molumby (26')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

Watford were good value for their victory over Birmingham on the weekend, and the Vicarage Road faithful will be expecting a similar result against a West Brom side who struggle away from home. You feel that the Baggies have an extra gear to go up to when the likes of Maja and Sarmiento are eventually integrated into the XI, but we do not envisage Corberan's men earning anything from their trip to Hertfordshire on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
45.16% (-0.199 -0.2) 25.98% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 28.86% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.85% (-0.125 -0.13)52.15% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.13% (-0.107 -0.11)73.87% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.146 -0.15)23.03% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (-0.217 -0.22)56.85% (0.221 0.22)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (0.048999999999992 0.05)32.65% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.8% (0.054000000000002 0.05)69.2% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Watford 45.16%
    West Bromwich Albion 28.86%
    Draw 25.98%
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 45.16%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 28.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Watford 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-3 Watford
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-1 Blackburn
Sunday, August 27 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Watford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Watford (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 West Brom
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 4-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 West Brom
Friday, August 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 3-2 Swansea
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-1 West Brom
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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