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Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 4, 2023 at 8.10pm UK
San Mamés Barria
OL

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Osasuna

Williams (33')
Vesga (21'), Sancet (94')
FT
(aet)
Ibanez (116')
Torro (43'), Barja (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Osasuna (Osasuna win 2-1 on aggregate)

Athletic's rich history in the Copa del Rey has to be taken into account here, but the Basque outfit could face frustration on Tuesday night. Osasuna can be a very tough nut to crack, and we are backing the visitors to secure a draw on the evening, which would send them into the final of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.71%).

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
51.14% (-2.548 -2.55) 27.1% (1.52 1.52) 21.75% (1.028 1.03)
Both teams to score 42.62% (-2.656 -2.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.01% (-4.159 -4.16)60.99% (4.157 4.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.01% (-3.224 -3.22)80.99% (3.223 3.22)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (-2.866 -2.87)24.09% (2.864 2.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.62% (-4.257 -4.26)58.38% (4.256 4.26)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.15% (-1.33 -1.33)43.85% (1.328 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20% (-1.118 -1.12)80% (1.116 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 51.14%
    Osasuna 21.75%
    Draw 27.1%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 15.03% (1.05 1.05)
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.449 -0.45)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.524 -0.52)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.605 -0.61)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.364 -0.36)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.323 -0.32)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.367 -0.37)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 51.14%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.43 0.43)
0-0 @ 10.56% (1.536 1.54)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.328 -0.33)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.991 0.99)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.289 0.29)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, April 1 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-3 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Barcelona
Sunday, March 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, March 1 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Girona
Sunday, February 26 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Osasuna
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-3 Villarreal
Sunday, March 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Osasuna
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-0 Celta Vigo
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, March 1 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Sevilla 2-3 Osasuna
Sunday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga


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