Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw has a probability of 25.4% and a win for Rosario Central has a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Rosario Central win it is 0-1 (7.72%).