Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.