SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
68.39% ( -0.06) | 17.71% ( 0.08) | 13.9% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.41% ( -0.44) | 34.59% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.47% ( -0.5) | 56.53% ( 0.5) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.78% ( -0.13) | 9.22% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.8% ( -0.31) | 31.19% ( 0.31) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.63% ( -0.31) | 37.37% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.84% ( -0.31) | 74.15% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.64% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.64% Total : 68.39% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.71% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 13.9% |
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