Heerenveen have been largely underwhelming away from home of late, but they will back themselves to see off the threat of lower league opposition nonetheless. While we expect Breda to put up a good fight, we are backing their visitors to carry the day and progress to the last eight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Heerenveen in this match.
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