Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
-0.14) 
0.01) 
