SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 55.71%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.42%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Jong Ajax |
55.71% ( -0.1) | 20.99% ( 0.08) | 23.3% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.56% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.66% ( -0.4) | 34.34% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.75% ( -0.45) | 56.24% ( 0.45) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.61% ( -0.16) | 12.39% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.74% ( -0.33) | 38.26% ( 0.33) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( -0.21) | 27.45% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.06% ( -0.27) | 62.93% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 55.71% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.99% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 23.3% |
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