Birmingham are on an impressive run of results heading into this one, and the added advantage of playing on home turf makes them favourites. We are backing the home team to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
0.31) 
-0.32) 
