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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
BL

Bristol City
0 - 2
Birmingham


Dickie (38'), Dickie (76')
Dickie (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Miyoshi (45+3'), Jutkiewicz (84')
Sunjic (20'), Buchanan (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Birmingham City

Bristol City will be full of confidence after their last-minute win at Millwall, but the Robins' inconsistent tendencies could hinder their chances of securing maximum points this time out. Birmingham are also coming into this clash off the back of an outstanding result, and we believe Blues will have enough to maintain their unbeaten record in the Championship for another week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBirmingham City
45.13% (-1.348 -1.35) 25.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 29.39% (1.337 1.34)
Both teams to score 53.77% (0.829 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (0.684 0.68)49.78% (-0.685 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (0.608 0.61)71.79% (-0.61 -0.61)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.327 -0.33)22.04% (0.325 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (-0.492 -0.49)55.37% (0.491 0.49)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (1.345 1.35)31.03% (-1.347 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (1.548 1.55)67.34% (-1.548 -1.55)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 45.13%
    Birmingham City 29.4%
    Draw 25.47%
Bristol CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.378 -0.38)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 45.13%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.254 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.68% (0.212 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.196 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 5-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Preston
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bristol City 4-0 Exeter
Tuesday, July 25 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Peterborough 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-3 Birmingham
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1


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